Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -400 UALB +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -6.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -6.4 (-2.4) | 160.9 (+1.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -6.0 (-2.0) | 161.8 (+0.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -6.0 (-2.0) | 159.8 (+2.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -5.1 (-1.1) | 160.8 (+1.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UALB 65 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UALB 71 – 46 BRY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BRY 91 – 78 UALB |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UALB 68 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BRY 89 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#178) | -4.1 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#145) | -0.95 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#151) | -1.14 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#122) | 0.465 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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