Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -800 UALB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -11.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (-30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -9.9 (-14.9) | 156.8 (-25.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -10.2 (-15.2) | 153.9 (-22.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -10.8 (-15.8) | 153.4 (-22.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -10.1 (-15.1) | 156.1 (-25.1) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UALB 65 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UALB 71 – 46 BRY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BRY 91 – 78 UALB |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BRY 89 – 79 UALB |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BRY 83 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#152) | -7.5 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#189) | -1.18 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#154) | -1.35 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#147) | 0.439 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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