Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -750 UALB +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +13 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -10.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -9.3 (+3.7) | 152.8 (+16.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -9.2 (+3.8) | 153.0 (+16.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -9.8 (+3.2) | 151.8 (+17.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -9.4 (+3.6) | 152.5 (+16.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UALB 65 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UALB 71 – 46 BRY |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UALB 68 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BRY 89 – 79 UALB |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BRY 83 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#154) | -6.6 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#170) | -0.94 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#154) | -1.16 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#102) | 0.464 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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