Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -122 UALB +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -0.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -0.5 (-1.5) | 132.2 (-4.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -0.6 (-1.4) | 132.6 (-4.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -0.1 (-2.1) | 131.9 (-3.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -0.1 (-2.1) | 132.5 (-4.5) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | UALB 71 – 46 BRY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BRY 91 – 78 UALB |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UALB 68 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BRY 89 – 79 UALB |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BRY 83 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-17 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#341) | -10.7 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#341) | -2.39 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#341) | -2.60 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#324) | 0.394 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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