Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | UALB +130 BRY -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -0.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -0.3 (-10.3) | 156.0 (+12.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -0.4 (-9.6) | 155.8 (+12.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.0 (-9.0) | 154.8 (+13.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -0.1 (-10.1) | 154.4 (+13.6) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UALB 65 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UALB 71 – 46 BRY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BRY 91 – 78 UALB |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UALB 68 – 63 BRY |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BRY 83 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 14-2 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#274) | -1.7 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#234) | -0.66 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#232) | -0.48 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#232) | 0.481 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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