Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +145 TNST -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -2.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -3.2 (+7.2) | 140.5 (+3.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -4.0 (+8.0) | 139.7 (+4.3) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -2.9 (+6.9) | 138.1 (+5.9) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -2.4 (+6.4) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNST 77 – 68 EIU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TNST 66 – 49 EIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TNST 84 – 65 EIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | TNST 78 – 73 EIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TNST 64 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#292) | -2.6 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#296) | 0.28 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#291) | -0.30 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#285) | 0.512 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 36.9% |
Game Analysis
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