Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +130 TNST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +4 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | TNST -0.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -0.4 (-3.6) | 139.0 (-15.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -0.8 (-3.2) | 136.7 (-12.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -1.1 (-2.9) | 137.8 (-13.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -0.4 (-3.6) | 137.8 (-13.8) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNST 77 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EIU 74 – 70 TNST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TNST 66 – 49 EIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TNST 84 – 65 EIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | TNST 78 – 73 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#296) | -3.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#276) | -0.94 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#287) | -1.07 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#262) | 0.449 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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