Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | TNST -250 EIU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -5.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -3.6 (+1.4) | 133.4 (+17.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -4.5 (+0.5) | 130.2 (+20.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -3.6 (+1.4) | 131.9 (+19.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -3.7 (+1.3) | 132.2 (+18.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNST 77 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EIU 74 – 70 TNST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TNST 66 – 49 EIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TNST 84 – 65 EIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TNST 64 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#277) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#258) | -1.41 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#261) | -1.81 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#231) | 0.441 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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