Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +110 TNST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +17 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | TNST -2.1 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -4.2 (-12.8) | 143.1 (-28.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -3.6 (-13.4) | 143.0 (-28.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -2.7 (-14.3) | 144.2 (-29.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -3.4 (-13.6) | 145.3 (-30.3) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNST 77 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EIU 74 – 70 TNST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TNST 84 – 65 EIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | TNST 78 – 73 EIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TNST 64 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#334) | -6.1 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#337) | -1.38 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.08 (#344) | -1.90 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#333) | 0.439 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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