Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +114 KU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +11 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | KU -5.6 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.3 (+13.3) | 137.5 (+23.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -1.2 (+12.2) | 136.4 (+24.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.7 (+14.7) | 135.9 (+25.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.1 (+14.1) | 139.6 (+21.4) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2024 | WVU 62 – 61 KU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WVU 91 – 85 KU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KU 78 – 61 WVU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KU 76 – 74 WVU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | KU 76 – 62 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#76) | 17.7 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#122) | 3.22 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#121) | 4.40 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#191) | 0.663 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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