Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | KU -600 WVU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | KU -7.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -7.0 (-5.0) | 151.8 (-1.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -7.5 (-5.5) | 149.1 (+0.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -8.1 (-6.1) | 152.7 (-2.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -8.0 (-6.0) | 152.2 (-2.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | WVU 86 – 75 KU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WVU 62 – 61 KU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WVU 91 – 85 KU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KU 78 – 61 WVU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | KU 76 – 62 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#7) | 13.1 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#2) | 1.85 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.10 (#2) | 2.62 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#2) | 0.574 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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