Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +400 KU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +6 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | KU -11.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -10.7 (+16.7) | 146.2 (+29.8) | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -9.4 (+15.4) | 146.0 (+30.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -11.0 (+17.0) | 144.8 (+31.2) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -11.4 (+17.4) | 145.1 (+30.9) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | WVU 86 – 75 KU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WVU 62 – 61 KU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KU 78 – 61 WVU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KU 76 – 74 WVU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | KU 76 – 62 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-9 | 15-1 |
| Away | 0-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#162) | 15.1 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#204) | 3.34 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#175) | 3.94 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#180) | 0.661 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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