Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | KU -170 WVU +143 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | KU -2.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.6 (+13.4) | 142.5 (-3.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.8 (+13.2) | 146.2 (-7.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.0 (+13.0) | 144.8 (-5.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -3.5 (+13.5) | 144.9 (-5.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | WVU 86 – 75 KU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WVU 62 – 61 KU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WVU 91 – 85 KU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KU 76 – 74 WVU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | KU 76 – 62 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#9) | 13.6 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#3) | 2.07 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#2) | 2.79 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#2) | 0.576 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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