Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -218 UNI +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -0.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -1.9 (+4.1) | 133.1 (+10.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -0.8 (+5.2) | 131.9 (+12.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -0.5 (+5.5) | 131.2 (+12.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.2 (+4.8) | 132.8 (+11.2) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UNI 74 – 63 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#114) | 6.7 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#126) | 1.08 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#133) | 1.24 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#123) | 0.561 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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