Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -215 UNI +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -3.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -3.3 (+13.7) | 140.6 (-11.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -4.0 (+13.0) | 138.2 (-9.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -4.0 (+13.0) | 140.5 (-11.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -3.8 (+13.2) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UNI 74 – 63 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#92) | 5.4 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#63) | 1.01 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#82) | 1.05 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#60) | 0.557 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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