Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -180 BRAD +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +12 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -5.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -3.7 (+8.3) | 132.4 (-22.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -4.2 (+7.8) | 132.9 (-22.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -4.0 (+8.0) | 129.9 (-19.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -4.3 (+7.7) | 130.4 (-20.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UNI 74 – 63 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#106) | 2.8 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#130) | 0.47 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#134) | 0.45 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#92) | 0.539 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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