Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UNI +125 BRAD -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -2.3 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.6 (+12.6) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -2.8 (+13.8) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -1.8 (+12.8) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -2.1 (+13.1) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#127) | 8.7 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#120) | 1.37 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#123) | 1.61 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#101) | 0.590 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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