Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD +160 UNI -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -3.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -0.4 (-3.6) | 131.4 (+10.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -2.6 (-1.4) | 131.7 (+10.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -3.3 (-0.7) | 132.5 (+9.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -1.8 (-2.2) | 130.9 (+11.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UNI 74 – 63 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#111) | 7.2 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#117) | 0.49 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#124) | 0.70 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#111) | 0.543 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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