Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -125 BRAD +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -0.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -0.1 (+13.9) | 137.7 (+14.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -0.4 (+13.6) | 139.6 (+12.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -0.3 (+13.7) | 140.9 (+11.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -1.1 (+12.9) | 139.3 (+12.7) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UNI 74 – 63 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#104) | 7.1 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#127) | 1.83 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#127) | 1.73 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#123) | 0.580 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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