Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | LT -285 DEL +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LT -4.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -3.9 (-1.9) | 127.5 (+10.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -1.8 (+0.2) | 122.9 (+15.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -1.8 (+0.2) | 122.8 (+15.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -2.5 (-0.5) | 127.8 (+10.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LT 81 – 38 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#264) | -7.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#247) | -1.41 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#253) | -1.64 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#276) | 0.423 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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