Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
Conference USA · Bob Carpenter Center · March 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread LT -2.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money DEL +114 / LT -135
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual LT +43 119 Lost
Massey DEL -0.7 (-43.7)
Massey Totals 129.5 (-10.5)
Bradley-Terry 42%
Weighted B-T 48%
Efficiency Plus ML LT -1.3 (-41.7) 136.3 (-17.3) 39%
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -0.3 (-43.3) 133.6 (-14.6) 47%
Baseline ML LT -0.5 (-42.5) 135.2 (-16.2) 48%
Baseline Plus ML LT -0.1 (-42.9) 137.2 (-18.2) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 LT 7068 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL LT
Overall 10-21 20-14
Conference 6-14 11-9
Home 5-10 14-3
Away 4-10 4-10
Neutral 1-1 2-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.9 67.8
Avg Pts Against 74.1 67.8
Massey -6.3 (#269) -4.1 (#230)
Bradley-Terry -1.11 (#266) -0.29 (#199)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.27 (#261) -0.62 (#224)
RPI 0.444 (#295) 0.484 (#223)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL LT
FG% 45.5% 42.4%
3PT% 37.5% 28.2%
REB / G 30.3 37.3
OREB / G 6.2 13.0
AST / TO 1.06 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.1% 47.1%
TOV% 17.9% 18.8%
ORB% 20.8% 35.9%
FT Rate 24.2% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 17.8%
DRB% 69.1% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 25.5%

Game Analysis

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