Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -115 UAPB -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +8 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UAPB -0.9 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAPB -1.6 (-6.4) | 156.2 (-16.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.8 (-8.8) | 154.5 (-14.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAPB -2.9 (-5.1) | 157.0 (-17.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAPB -3.4 (-4.6) | 157.6 (-17.6) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TXSO 83 – 64 UAPB |
| Feb 25, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 56 UAPB |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAPB 69 – 68 TXSO |
| Feb 27, 2024 | TXSO 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UAPB 70 – 67 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#351) | -10.6 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.45 (#357) | -0.46 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.76 (#357) | -0.82 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#321) | 0.511 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.7% | 35.8% |
Game Analysis
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