Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -333 UAPB +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -11.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -8.7 (-11.7) | 146.6 (-9.6) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -8.1 (-11.1) | 150.1 (-13.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -8.5 (-11.5) | 149.6 (-12.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -9.4 (-12.4) | 145.9 (-8.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TXSO 83 – 64 UAPB |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UAPB 74 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 25, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 56 UAPB |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAPB 69 – 68 TXSO |
| Feb 27, 2024 | TXSO 77 – 70 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#302) | -15.2 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#287) | -3.14 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#320) | -4.57 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#234) | 0.396 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.3% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 60.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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