Betting Lines
| Spread | UAPB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB -130 TXSO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +19 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UAPB -3.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAPB -1.9 (-20.9) | 148.3 (-1.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAPB -2.3 (-21.3) | 150.6 (-3.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAPB -1.6 (-20.6) | 152.9 (-5.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAPB -2.2 (-21.2) | 151.5 (-4.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | UAPB 74 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 25, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 56 UAPB |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAPB 69 – 68 TXSO |
| Feb 27, 2024 | TXSO 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UAPB 70 – 67 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#328) | -11.7 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#258) | -1.57 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#286) | -2.16 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#238) | 0.429 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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