Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB +340 TXSO -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -11.3 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -10.0 (+11.0) | 152.1 (-15.1) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -10.2 (+11.2) | 150.6 (-13.6) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -10.2 (+11.2) | 150.2 (-13.2) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -10.3 (+11.3) | 151.3 (-14.3) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TXSO 83 – 64 UAPB |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UAPB 74 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 25, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 56 UAPB |
| Feb 27, 2024 | TXSO 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UAPB 70 – 67 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-17 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -22.6 (#363) | -8.1 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.85 (#364) | -1.20 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.91 (#364) | -1.49 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.304 (#364) | 0.439 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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