Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -1000 UAPB +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +25 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -16.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -14.1 (+10.9) | 149.4 (-12.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TXSO -13.4 (+11.6) | 148.3 (-11.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TXSO -15.4 (+9.6) | 147.6 (-10.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -14.6 (+10.4) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TXSO 83 – 64 UAPB |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UAPB 74 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAPB 69 – 68 TXSO |
| Feb 27, 2024 | TXSO 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UAPB 70 – 67 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-12 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#293) | -21.8 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#322) | -4.07 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#299) | -5.15 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#299) | 0.336 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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