Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +110 NICH -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +13 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -2.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -0.5 (-13.5) | 150.1 (+16.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -0.0 (-13.0) | 149.7 (+17.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -1.5 (-14.5) | 148.5 (+18.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -0.8 (-13.8) | 149.6 (+17.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | NICH 78 – 75 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 12-10 |
| Home | 5-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 9-11 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#219) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#225) | -0.22 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#213) | -0.50 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#204) | 0.490 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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