See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Southland Conference · David R. Stopher Gymnasium · January 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread NICH -4.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money NICH -213 / UNO +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total NICH win
Actual NICH +3 153 Won
Massey NICH -11.5 (-8.5)
Massey Totals 157.8 (-4.8)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 87%
Efficiency Plus ML NICH -8.4 (-5.4) 154.5 (-1.5) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML NICH -8.7 (-5.7) 149.9 (+3.1) 82%
Baseline ML NICH -8.8 (-5.8) 150.6 (+2.4) 81%
Baseline Plus ML NICH -8.7 (-5.7) 153.6 (-0.6) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2026 UNO 8062 NICH
Jan 10, 2026 NICH 9077 UNO
Feb 18, 2025 NICH 7862 UNO
Dec 7, 2024 NICH 7370 UNO
Feb 20, 2024 NICH 8977 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NICH UNO
Overall 20-14 10-23
Conference 13-5 4-14
Home 10-2 7-6
Away 8-10 2-15
Neutral 2-2 1-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.2 70.7
Avg Pts Against 74.9 81.6
Massey -2.8 (#225) -10.4 (#321)
Bradley-Terry -0.59 (#234) -1.49 (#305)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.78 (#236) -1.89 (#306)
RPI 0.484 (#204) 0.423 (#305)
Shooting & Four Factors NICH UNO
FG% 40.6% 40.4%
3PT% 35.2% 31.6%
REB / G 35.0 33.0
OREB / G 10.2 9.7
AST / TO 0.84 0.67
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 44.7%
TOV% 18.3% 19.0%
ORB% 26.9% 25.6%
FT Rate 26.2% 29.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 54.4%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 19.2%
DRB% 64.3% 66.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.5% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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