Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -213 NOLA +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -11.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -8.7 (-5.7) | 153.6 (-0.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -8.4 (-5.4) | 154.5 (-1.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -8.7 (-5.7) | 149.9 (+3.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -8.8 (-5.8) | 150.6 (+2.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#225) | -10.4 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#234) | -1.49 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#236) | -1.89 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#204) | 0.423 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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