Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -180 NOLA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -3.1 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -2.9 (-20.9) | 151.4 (-9.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.9 (-21.9) | 149.9 (-7.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -2.7 (-20.7) | 151.1 (-9.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -2.7 (-20.7) | 152.5 (-10.5) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | NICH 78 – 75 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 12-10 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-12 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#226) | -3.6 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#226) | -0.66 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#229) | -0.81 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#226) | 0.473 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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