Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | NOLA +360 NICH -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +16 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -7.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -7.1 (-8.9) | 150.7 (-10.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.5 (-8.5) | 149.1 (-9.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.4 (-9.6) | 147.7 (-7.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.9 (-9.1) | 149.2 (-9.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | NICH 78 – 75 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 13-7 |
| Home | 0-11 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-15 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#338) | -1.5 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#333) | -0.20 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#330) | -0.35 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#317) | 0.505 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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