I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Southland Conference · David R. Stopher Gymnasium · December 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread NICH -11.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money NICH -900 / UNO +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total NICH win
Actual NICH +3 143 Won
Massey NICH -10.4 (-7.4)
Massey Totals 147.9 (-4.9)
Bradley-Terry 68%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML NICH -6.4 (-3.4) 142.6 (+0.4) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML NICH -5.9 (-2.9) 142.3 (+0.7) 76%
Baseline ML NICH -5.5 (-2.5) 141.9 (+1.1) 72%
Baseline Plus ML NICH -6.1 (-3.1) 142.4 (+0.6) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2026 UNO 8062 NICH
Jan 10, 2026 NICH 9077 UNO
Feb 18, 2025 NICH 7862 UNO
Feb 20, 2024 NICH 8977 UNO
Jan 16, 2024 NICH 7875 UNO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NICH UNO
Overall 20-13 4-27
Conference 13-7 2-18
Home 11-4 0-11
Away 8-8 3-15
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L13
Avg Pts For 72.0 67.9
Avg Pts Against 71.7 82.5
Massey -4.9 (#250) -10.6 (#336)
Bradley-Terry -1.24 (#278) -1.11 (#265)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.91 (#282) -1.90 (#279)
RPI 0.449 (#259) 0.450 (#255)
Shooting & Four Factors NICH UNO
FG% 37.7% 39.2%
3PT% 31.8% 32.2%
REB / G 39.3 35.9
OREB / G 12.4 12.1
AST / TO 0.96 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.2% 44.9%
TOV% 15.6% 19.4%
ORB% 29.6% 30.4%
FT Rate 17.3% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 13.7% 19.3%
DRB% 69.1% 62.4%
Opp FT Rate 27.4% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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