Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -900 NOLA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -10.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -6.1 (-3.1) | 142.4 (+0.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.4 (-3.4) | 142.6 (+0.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -5.9 (-2.9) | 142.3 (+0.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -5.5 (-2.5) | 141.9 (+1.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | NICH 78 – 75 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 2-18 |
| Home | 11-4 | 0-11 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 82.5 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#250) | -10.6 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#278) | -1.11 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#282) | -1.90 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#259) | 0.450 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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