Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +100 NICH -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +12 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -4.6 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -4.0 (-8.0) | 153.6 (+12.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.7 (-8.3) | 152.1 (+13.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -4.0 (-8.0) | 149.3 (+16.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -4.1 (-7.9) | 151.4 (+14.6) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | NICH 78 – 75 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-15 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#345) | -6.0 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#352) | -0.63 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.33 (#351) | -1.06 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#345) | 0.485 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.