I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Columbia Lions
54 79
FINAL Conference
Harvard Crimson
Ivy League · Levien Gymnasium · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money COLU -270 / HARV +220
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual HARV +25 133 Lost
Massey COLU -10.6 (-35.6)
Massey Totals 144.3 (-11.3)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML COLU -7.9 (-32.9) 141.6 (-8.6) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -8.8 (-33.8) 142.1 (-9.1) 83%
Baseline ML COLU -9.4 (-34.4) 142.9 (-9.9) 80%
Baseline Plus ML COLU -9.3 (-34.3) 141.9 (-8.9) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 HARV 8171 COLU
Feb 15, 2025 HARV 8775 COLU
Feb 1, 2025 HARV 9082 COLU
Feb 17, 2024 HARV 8075 COLU
Feb 3, 2024 HARV 6259 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU HARV
Overall 16-12 17-12
Conference 5-9 10-4
Home 9-5 8-4
Away 7-7 9-6
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 69.8
Avg Pts Against 73.5 67.3
Massey 4.7 (#108) -2.3 (#201)
Bradley-Terry 1.26 (#83) -1.06 (#260)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.21 (#100) -1.43 (#258)
RPI 0.550 (#89) 0.452 (#260)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU HARV
FG% 48.8% 46.6%
3PT% 39.2% 36.1%
REB / G 40.4 30.5
OREB / G 12.0 8.0
AST / TO 1.16 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.3% 53.2%
TOV% 20.1% 17.9%
ORB% 37.1% 26.1%
FT Rate 23.3% 19.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 53.7%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 18.0%
DRB% 73.8% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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