Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | COLU -270 HARV +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +25 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -10.6 (-35.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -9.3 (-34.3) | 141.9 (-8.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -7.9 (-32.9) | 141.6 (-8.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -8.8 (-33.8) | 142.1 (-9.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -9.4 (-34.4) | 142.9 (-9.9) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HARV 81 – 71 COLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 87 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HARV 90 – 82 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HARV 80 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HARV 62 – 59 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#108) | -2.3 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#83) | -1.06 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#100) | -1.43 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#89) | 0.452 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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