Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | COLU -140 HARV +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +8 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -7.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -4.5 (-12.5) | 145.1 (+26.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -4.5 (-12.5) | 144.8 (+27.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -4.2 (-12.2) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -4.5 (-12.5) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HARV 81 – 71 COLU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HARV 79 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 87 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HARV 80 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HARV 62 – 59 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#207) | -6.7 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | -1.10 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#211) | -1.29 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#212) | 0.460 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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