Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | HARV -140 COLU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +12 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -0.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -0.5 (+11.5) | 147.8 (+14.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -0.4 (+11.6) | 145.6 (+16.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -1.4 (+10.6) | 147.2 (+14.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -0.9 (+11.1) | 148.0 (+14.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HARV 81 – 71 COLU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HARV 79 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HARV 90 – 82 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HARV 80 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HARV 62 – 59 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 1-13 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#282) | -4.7 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#268) | -0.73 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#266) | -1.19 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#237) | 0.457 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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