Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | COLU -138 HARV +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -4.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -3.1 (-8.1) | 142.2 (+12.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -0.9 (-5.9) | 142.3 (+12.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -3.0 (-8.0) | 141.4 (+13.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -3.0 (-8.0) | 140.7 (+14.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HARV 81 – 71 COLU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HARV 79 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 87 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HARV 90 – 82 COLU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HARV 62 – 59 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#189) | -2.4 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#190) | 0.28 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#192) | 0.32 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#191) | 0.511 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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