Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | HARV -205 COLU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -3.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -3.7 (+6.3) | 131.7 (+20.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -1.7 (+8.3) | 131.8 (+20.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -2.5 (+7.5) | 129.7 (+22.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -2.8 (+7.2) | 129.7 (+22.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | HARV 79 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 87 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HARV 90 – 82 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HARV 80 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | HARV 62 – 59 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#161) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#175) | -0.27 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#182) | -0.43 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#184) | 0.513 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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