Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +245 WCU -305 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -4.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -4.7 (+6.7) | 145.1 (+10.9) | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -5.5 (+7.5) | 145.5 (+10.5) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -4.6 (+6.6) | 146.4 (+9.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -5.7 (+7.7) | 147.4 (+8.6) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2024 | WCU 80 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#355) | -8.1 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.31 (#363) | -0.93 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.75 (#363) | -1.47 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.358 (#359) | 0.485 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.0% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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