Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -440 CIT +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +38 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -8.6 (+29.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -5.4 (+32.6) | 146.5 (-10.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -6.7 (+31.3) | 148.0 (-12.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -5.7 (+32.3) | 145.5 (-9.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -5.7 (+32.3) | 145.9 (-9.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2024 | WCU 80 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#286) | -13.4 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#293) | -1.99 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#299) | -2.68 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#258) | 0.403 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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