Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +150 WCU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -2.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -0.8 (-9.8) | 134.0 (+17.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -0.4 (-8.6) | 136.5 (+14.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -0.0 (-9.0) | 134.9 (+16.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -0.6 (-9.6) | 138.1 (+12.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#157) | 2.4 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#223) | 1.45 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#215) | 1.31 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#237) | 0.558 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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