Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -700 CIT +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -9.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -9.0 (-2.0) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -8.5 (-1.5) | 140.0 (-5.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -8.6 (-1.6) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -9.0 (-2.0) | 142.2 (-7.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2024 | WCU 80 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#129) | -4.0 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#118) | -1.17 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#123) | -1.28 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#122) | 0.437 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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