Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CIT -120 WCU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -4.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -1.5 (-3.5) | 132.1 (+25.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -0.7 (-2.7) | 136.8 (+21.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -2.3 (-4.3) | 134.0 (+24.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -1.9 (-3.9) | 133.4 (+24.6) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2024 | WCU 80 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-12 | 7-7 |
| Away | 0-12 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L24 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#352) | -15.3 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#361) | -2.47 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.23 (#360) | -3.27 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#357) | 0.417 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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