Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -280 CIT +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -5.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -5.5 (-2.5) | 139.9 (+9.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -6.9 (-3.9) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -4.6 (-1.6) | 140.8 (+8.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -5.3 (-2.3) | 142.0 (+7.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2024 | WCU 80 – 71 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 0-18 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-12 |
| Away | 1-14 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L24 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#349) | -15.9 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#335) | -3.94 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#333) | -4.31 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#322) | 0.349 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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