Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -170 USC +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -0.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -1.6 (-2.6) | 144.2 (-5.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -1.5 (-2.5) | 142.0 (-3.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -2.2 (-3.2) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -2.4 (-3.4) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | MINN 69 – 66 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#97) | 10.2 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#74) | 2.93 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#75) | 3.40 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#112) | 0.637 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 38.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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