Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | USC -340 MINN +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -8.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -6.8 (-9.8) | 140.7 (-5.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -7.3 (-10.3) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USC -7.5 (-10.5) | 142.9 (-7.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -7.0 (-10.0) | 142.4 (-7.4) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | USC 70 – 69 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-7 | 10-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#57) | 5.3 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#57) | 1.14 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#49) | 1.76 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#61) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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