Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -142 LIP +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -1.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -1.4 (-8.4) | 155.3 (+5.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -0.8 (-7.8) | 155.4 (+5.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.0 (-8.0) | 152.9 (+8.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -0.7 (-7.7) | 152.5 (+8.5) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FGCU 77 – 53 LIP |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIP 86 – 71 FGCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIP 82 – 68 FGCU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIP 98 – 72 FGCU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | LIP 73 – 64 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#199) | -0.0 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#254) | -0.04 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#229) | 0.03 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#247) | 0.508 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.