Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -320 FGCU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -9.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -10.6 (+3.4) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -9.2 (+4.8) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -9.7 (+4.3) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -9.9 (+4.1) | 142.3 (+7.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FGCU 77 – 53 LIP |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIP 86 – 71 FGCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIP 84 – 77 FGCU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIP 98 – 72 FGCU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | LIP 73 – 64 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#87) | -0.3 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#125) | -0.14 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#100) | -0.27 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#122) | 0.495 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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