Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU +120 LIP -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +26 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -1.7 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -1.8 (-24.2) | 145.0 (+25.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -1.7 (-24.3) | 145.8 (+24.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -1.9 (-24.1) | 146.6 (+23.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -1.8 (-24.2) | 146.7 (+23.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FGCU 77 – 53 LIP |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIP 86 – 71 FGCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIP 84 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIP 82 – 68 FGCU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | LIP 73 – 64 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#261) | 0.6 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#269) | 0.17 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#269) | 0.01 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#282) | 0.500 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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