Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -192 FGCU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +24 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -4.5 (-28.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -3.3 (-27.3) | 148.0 (-18.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -3.7 (-27.7) | 148.0 (-18.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -3.8 (-27.8) | 145.2 (-15.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -3.6 (-27.6) | 146.2 (-16.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIP 86 – 71 FGCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIP 84 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIP 82 – 68 FGCU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIP 98 – 72 FGCU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | LIP 73 – 64 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#183) | -5.7 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#175) | -1.10 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#182) | -1.24 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#89) | 0.461 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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