Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -1600 CLE +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +23 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -19.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 178.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -14.9 (+8.1) | 163.8 (+7.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -11.6 (+11.4) | 161.9 (+9.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -13.8 (+9.2) | 165.1 (+5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -15.3 (+7.7) | 163.2 (+7.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OAK 83 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 88.6 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#121) | -12.4 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#93) | -2.27 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#110) | -2.89 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#36) | 0.384 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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